The New Mexico Lobos will take on the San Jose State Spartans at 10 p.m. ET in Mountain West action on Tuesday at Dreamstyle Arena. New Mexico is 15-5 overall and 12-0 at home, while SJSU is 6-13 overall and 1-6 on the road. The Lobos are favored by 11.5 points in the latest New Mexico vs. San Jose State odds, with the over-under set at 158. Before entering any San Jose State vs. New Mexico picks, you'll want to see the college basketball predictions from the model at SportsLine.

This model, which simulates every game 10,000 times, has crushed its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread the past three years, returning $2,770 to $100 players. It also enters Week 12 of the 2019-20 season on a 6-2 run on top-rated college basketball spread picks. Anybody who followed it during that span has seen handsome returns.

Now, it has simulated New Mexico vs. San Jose State 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning under, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in almost 60 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

New Mexico is coming off a pair of tough losses as it fell 105-72 to Colorado State on Jan. 15 and then had a 99-78 setback against UNLV on Saturday to drop the Lobos to 4-3 Mountain West play. That defeat came about despite a quality game from forward Corey Manigault, who posted a double-double on 19 points and 11 rebounds. Guard JaQuan Lyle, an Ohio State transfer, leads the team with 17.1 points per game. Forward Carlton Bragg Jr. averages 12.6 points and leads the team with 10.3 rebounds per contest. 

New Mexico averages 80 points per game, good for 24th nationally, but has struggled on the other end, giving up 75.3 points per contest, ranking 310th nationally in that category. 

Meanwhile, San Jose State is coming off a 98-87 loss to UNLV. A silver lining for the Spartans was the play of guard Seneca Knight, who had 30 points. Knight is the only player on the team that averages double-digit scoring (14.6 ppg). The Spartans are just 2-5 in conference play and have only five wins against Division-I competition this season. 

But SJSU has proven to be dangerous at times, like when it stunned Nevada as 10-point underdogs on Jan. 8. Overall, the Spartans are .500 against the spread (9-9 ATS), while New Mexico is just 8-11 against the number. 

So who wins New Mexico vs. San Jose State? And which side of the spread hits in almost 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on Tuesday, all from the model that has crushed its college basketball picks.